Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Positive Carry (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spaliday | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Past Tense | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just the Sky | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Taco Lady | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gasparilla | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coquito | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Experimental | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Patricia Ann | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camera | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Play Good Pay Good | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Evening | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Lord Captain | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Magnolia Midnight | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Market Alert | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gentleman Joe | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grandpa’s Kid | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Centavo | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Bold Endeavor | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Alternate Reality | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Debate | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucency | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Atlas | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tepeu | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Memphis | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nineteen Oysters | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Into It | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miracle Mike | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shadizaar | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What a Blast | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Addicted to You | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disappearance | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Friend Louie | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Flintshire | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Victors Valiant | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Harvard | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hero’s Medal | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cascais | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drake’s Passage | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Ripple | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moore’s Law | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Complete Agenda | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aztec | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poppy’s Pride | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Beach Boy Al | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Rod Rumble | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Kenny Had a Notion | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Shout | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Heir Port | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Poppy’s Pride | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Predicted | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clem Labine | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Good Juju | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Red D G P | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Fort Marcy S.) – Fort Marcy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ottoman Fleet (GB) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneering Spirit | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Limited Liability | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Piece (CHI) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Olympic Dreams | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Siege of Boston | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Exact Estimate | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Elusive Quality S.) – Elusive Quality S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Monarch | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Buck | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Durante | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Shot | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nothing Better | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alogon | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bring Me a Check | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thin White Duke | 10.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yes and Yes | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Ruffian S.) – Ruffian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Randomized | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Green Up | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fingal’s Cave | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t Broke | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shidabhuti | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soul of an Angel | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Traverse | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Miss Lao | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alette d’Oro | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laurana | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luna Patina | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boxed Wine | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pamplona Red | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shehanah | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saving Memories | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lu’s Redemption | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dubawi Wowie | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Addagirl Addie | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Savannah Dancer | 30.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Splashy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Alittlebitnaughty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lil’ Hayadoin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | La Fiere | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.