Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | How About Pavel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Dancin Nick | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Votre Sante | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Machupicchu | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bodacious | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Heisman | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Nano | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Headed for Om | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clubhouse Bride | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Recalcitrant | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Back On Track | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chamaville | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bit’s Tiger Magic | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Janet | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Cruiser | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classy | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Investment | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Max’s Maxine | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warren’s Showgirl | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Allure | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Giovinazzo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Swear Dave | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eastern Ocean | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enjoy It Strait | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tulane Tryst | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Low Expectations | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Broadway Venus | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lil’ Bit Bossy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Odies Memory Lane | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Knightwithlouis | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Swift Harmony | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Cali Cream | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gobernadora Ely | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hayley Amber | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Really Thirsty | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O Mandy | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moorea Time | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Danzig Til Dawn | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Truly Magical | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Penny | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Speed Grazy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nauvoo | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritual Advisor | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bet Jafinsafa | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Big Wam | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Man Overboard | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stop Digging | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Idaho | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Isabel Ludlow | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danzingwith Maxine | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play My Speed | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shoot for the Sky | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Forever | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miz Clubcali | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.