Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sally O’Malley | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Bellofthebluegrass | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Despo’s Dream | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sundance Feature | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Naughty Miss | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dowhateverittakes | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thoughtful | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sally O’Malley | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flawless Quality | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rock Harbor | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Penny Royal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Ana | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wonder Ride | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sidamara | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Weigh the Risks | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Befriended | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Promisemeanempire | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Standoutsensation | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sing a Little Song | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sedona | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Little Jamie | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | America’s Vow | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Minit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Arthur’s Ride | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Injunction | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lugan Knight | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Warren | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prove Worthy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Hush This | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Background | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nabokov | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Empty Tomb | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brigadier General | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cyclone Mischief | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ready to Pounce | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not Normal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | School Dance | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stir Crazy | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Make the Boys Wink | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paint Me Perfect | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bravo Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sultry Lass | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Batucada | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Into Disco | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Embrace Me | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Jungle Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Myriskyaffair | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Swoop to Finish | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Autism Community | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Justifiable Belle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Elysian Field | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Freydis the Red (FR) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Fasig-tipton La Troienne S.) – Fasig-tipton La Troienne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idiomatic | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Idiomatic | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Idiomatic | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Mischievous | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Xigera | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Like a Girl | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dorth Vader | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taxed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Frosty O Toole | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Unbridled Sidney S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Unbridled Sidney S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Run for the Hills | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Tony Ann | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ova Charged | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elm Drive | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Medalla Match | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Silent | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run for the Hills | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Money | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Speedy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charriere | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ag Bullet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Alysheba S. Presented By Twinspires) – Alysheba S. Presented By Twinspires
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | First Mission | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Supply | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steal Sunshine | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Il Miracolo | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trademark | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Fast | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | T O Saint Denis (JPN) | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pipeline | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tapit Trice | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tumbarumba | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Modesty S. Presented By Derby City Gaming & Hotel) – Modesty S. Presented By Derby City Gaming & Hotel
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparkle Blue | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | Queens Command (IRE) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Sunday | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mouffy | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast as Flight | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sparkle Blue | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surprisingly | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Papilio (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aspen Grove (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Caroline Street | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Join the Dance | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever After All | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Eight Belles S. Presented By Sysco) – Eight Belles S. Presented By Sysco
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Impel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Things Go | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Denim and Pearls | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | R Harper Rose | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Halina’s Forte | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Mane Squeeze | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Do Gooder | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tanya Showers | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asternia | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Moscato | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Accommodate Eva | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trial | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Edgewood S. Presented By Twinspires) – Edgewood S. Presented By Twinspires
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Way to Be Marie | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Hard to Justify | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Polkadots | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kalispera (IRE) | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dynamic Pricing (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buchu | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Fox Givin | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Way to Be Marie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Band of Gold | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maxisuperfly | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scalable | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dancing N Dixie | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ragtime Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pounce | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Simply in Front | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Longines Kentucky Oaks) – Longines Kentucky Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thorpedo Anna | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 15 | 15 | Our Pretty Woman | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Just F Y I | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thorpedo Anna | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ways and Means | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tarifa | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Leslie’s Rose | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Into Champagne | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gin Gin | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Power Squeeze | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Where’s My Ring | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fiona’s Magic | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Muffin | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Everland | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Regulatory Risk | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Candied | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Jenallie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almostgone Rocket | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Twirling Good Time | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Spring | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princesa Celina | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Almostgone Rocket | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Springs | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tweetster | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Saratoga Secret | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mink’s Palace | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hidden Class | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Daughter of Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Evening | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tipsy Tammy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fancy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Madison | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Union Mist | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Happy Happy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chilled | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Plumeria | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Backstretch Rose | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sustancia | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nocturne Court | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Sweet Emotion | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hedge These Bets | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dynamism | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Thief | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Speed Shopper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Layla | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.