Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Hypnocurrency | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Two Redheads | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Love Like Crazy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Keep It Sexy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Army of Thoughts | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Shasi | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Shaymyname | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Afilada | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roman Grace | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timely Conquest | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Appeal | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dame Cinco | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adeliese’s Smile | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Mine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Sheepshead Bay S.) – Sheepshead Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | McKulick (GB) | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parnac (FR) | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royalty Interest (FR) | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Mehana (FR) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Fortress (IRE) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | St. Benedicts Prep | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Status Seeker | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Goddess | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dazzy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Six Pack Senorita | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Mama Mia | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jay’s Love | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Laurel Valley | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whistler’s Honor | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sonic Speed | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Veterans Beach | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leftembehind | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cable Ready | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shinsun | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thethrillofvictory | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nimitz Class | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Accretive | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Repo Rocks | 1.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Yoda | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Chic | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | General Jim | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stolen Base | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Feltrinelli | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Side Eye | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Research Results | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Final Edition (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frostelle | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Man With No Name | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Party With Smarty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sig | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Donegal Momentum | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Me Wise Magic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Westchester S.) – Westchester S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Post Time | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charge It | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adero | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr Ardito | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Messier | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whittington Park | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winit | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Union Trail | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Life Story | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | English Castle | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Last Drink | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tony O | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Outtawaterbury | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Master Freud | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Neptune Beach | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Lister | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dakota Country | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mugsy Fury | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Forgone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Judge Rules | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.