Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Greta |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Marabina |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Popstyle |
1.60 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Valiant Kiss |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kip the Distance |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
China Blue |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Night Jumper |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Uncle Curly |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Daniel Sun |
4.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kingfish Stevens |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Momza |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sir Terre |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Man Flint |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
He’s a Butte |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magic Soul |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Manhattan Boy |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seven Anniversary |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cajun’s Choice |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wicked Phantom |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cheyenne Brave |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Super Spin |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
West Bank |
1.40 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lace Curtain |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Emily’s On Fire |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Did I Dazzle You |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Too Hot to Stop |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Midnight Onyx |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hay Hay Harry |
1.60 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chacharero |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sixteen Cigarettes |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baltic Mule |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shemightdancesalsa |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Antillean |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fort Charles |
3.50 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shipwreck |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Lady O’Brien |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Take Your Point |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mobay Princess |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Reina Mar |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gossiper |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Verina |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Some of It |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Summer in Toga |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Dialithic |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Goats On a Tree |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Refugiada |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wow Lucky |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
She Takes Cash |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Llamarada |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Seat At the Table |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Silent and Violent |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Because the Night |
2.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Speed Control |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Old Flag (IRE) |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Poliglota |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Live High Live Low |
3.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
El Chato |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ice the Kicker |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.