Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
January Jubilee |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Answer the Call |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mitole’s Legacy |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Anajuliaforever |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Singsational |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Balladry |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Savannamarie |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Charlie Tolu |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Indigo Wind |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Complex Music |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cupid’s Thunder |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Johnny Come Lately |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mischief Humor |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Predecessor |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sing Sing |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
B Grayson |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mitwajid |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Curlins Incharge |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spuns Son |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Availability |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Master of the Nite |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Quiet Rush |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zaptastic |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tiverton |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Puckster |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Supercool |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flash of Genius |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Forge in Fire |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Campton |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chitwood |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lazarus |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Perliano |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bronze Beast |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Allnight Moonlight |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Boitano |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grey Streak |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cool Quartet |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Atkins |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Classic King |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ferryboat |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chantry Flats |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bedazzle ‘Em |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pendulum |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tonalite |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bolt’s Broad |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Embark |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Saranac Lake |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carnane (IRE) |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kiss Me Again |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Leo Toro |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Philanthropy |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Claire’s Jete |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Candy Craze |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
16 |
16 |
Argentinidad |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Myiyla |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Mer Soleil |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Lemon Latte |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Roswell |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Take Shape |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mighty Madison |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stunningly |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mystic Pleasure |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Klimt’s Muse |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Je Suis Rapide |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
These Apples |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnight S.) – Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Classic Causeway |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Next |
0.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Red Run |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
O P Firecracker |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Donegal Forever |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Masqueparade |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dai Vernon |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Master Game |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (William Walker S.) – William Walker S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Joe Shiesty |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
No Nay Mets (IRE) |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Refuel |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mansa Musa (IRE) |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
13 |
13 |
Sketch (IRE) |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
14 |
14 |
This Is Uscar |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Joe Shiesty |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Silent Heart |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Aspenite |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Debt Paid |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bear River |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Double Your Money |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Runnin’ Rocket |
8.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
15 |
15 |
Molly’s Town |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Smokey Smokey |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Reef Runner |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Fan the Fire |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Fan the Fire |
|
0 |
0-1 |
12 |
12 |
Fan the Fire |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dual Monarchy |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gametime Gladiator |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
God of Wine |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quarrymen |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
High Headed |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tizzy Indy |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Summer in Aiken |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Saint Rocco |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Redhill |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Writeitontheice |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Not Listening |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.