Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queen Clancy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ava Moon Pie | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Avery | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loupit | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vinobello | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Xena | 1.60 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Money Is Time | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I Got a Guy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thanks Frank | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Museum Quality | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cloud Without Rein | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nick Jagger | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peaceafterthunder | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Without Objection | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barrel Thief | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keeneyes | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lofty Heights | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hayek | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Weather Map | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Sweet Candy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stealthespotlight | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Accelerating Babe | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gata Runz | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Choctaw Blessings | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rye Munny | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bodi Odi | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Always Smiling | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiff With Jimmy | 2.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Blame J D | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shake Up | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brahms Image | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Choctaw Zip | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Macho Ronnie | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miri a Coincidence | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Macho Rocco | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Campisi | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Aspen Club | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Barton | 4.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hightail Cowboy | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Reup | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Loveland | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Mischief | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby Queen | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Prairie Gal | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Opposite the Crowd | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miesha | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Peppers Girlfriend | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Pay No Hay | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Worm Burner | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taker Back | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Knockout | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Ruth | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Northern Angel | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Aficionado | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Landlord | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strike Ridge | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Andy’s Candy | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fastened | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Soddy J | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Power Slam | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Patton’s Tizzy | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Copper Echo | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Konteekee | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Summer Shoes | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Connie K | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ronnie’s Deal | 50.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Promises to Dance | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dealing Justice | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Silvia | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Off Ramp | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lover Girl | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | H. T. Xena | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Rage | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lets Declare Peace | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mairsils First | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| Lover Girl | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Russell | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mackman | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unload | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Interlock Empire | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Game Keeper | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Media Mogul | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Heist | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nyquick | 2.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impeccability | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shattuck | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kokomo Starlet | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moenchanted | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Who Lu | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Street Painter | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sophie’s Star | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Melania T | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kantirun | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Sequoia | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Raven | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zongs Irish Frost | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Snow Flurry | 1.60 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Shot Shopper | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | First Class Girl | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Pneuma | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.