Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mama’s Dream | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpha Sonny | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Qorokwe | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stanley Rough | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Onofrio | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Montauk Surf | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Morning Cup | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Larry | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moving Pictures | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Save | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | South Street | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mudville Nine | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fight Fiercely | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flash Kiss | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leading Contender | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Skate | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bendoog | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Captain | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocco Strong | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Works | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Harvard | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Little Luca | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | M B’s Munning | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Writer’s Regret | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gentleman Joe | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Gentleman | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sagamore Mischief | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amundson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Life Changer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Timed Out | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Everlys Girl | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mon Petit Chou | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet as Sugar | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devilly | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starry Midnight | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Capital Gal | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peachy Weachy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cupids Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Memories Of Silver S.) – Memories Of Silver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Living Magic | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Youknownothing | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Girl | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Faith Understood | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Rebecca | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mottley | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Munny Grab | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thirteen Red Flags | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Camera | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Most of All | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Golden Reign | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clubhouse | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Notah | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paschal Moon | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storming Chrome | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie Five O | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kant Beat the Rock | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | G Munning | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leonids | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yarrow | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acoustic Ave | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mischievous Angel | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Famous Gent | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King Moonracer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer in Adriane | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daufuskie Island | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kunshan Bridge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Savings Rate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vespucci | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | What’s Up Bro | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Upside Potential | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Works for Me | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Indian Mischief | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gem Mint Ten | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zapruder | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be of Courage | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | October Bliss | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Skellig Island | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Provision | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Paddock Pastor | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Freud | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ez Roll | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | American Grant | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Huntsman | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sonic Speed | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Whistler’s Honor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Thethrillofvictory | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cable Ready | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.