Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Must Be Love | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speightsville | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fire Bryan | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forsaken | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Buck | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gold Baron | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Ticket | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Berley | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Muldoon | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Shelleen | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hoppin John | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Violent River | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impressor | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dutch Mills | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Spun Fantasy | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eight Straight | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Life | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Express Cruiser | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Platinum Ghost | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | She’s Bulletproof | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Theresasilverlinin | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2B | 7 | Bertie’s Cause | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Kyle Beauty | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Fearless | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 9 | Wings From Above | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 10 | Royal Meghan | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Lofthouse | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 8 | Bug a Boo | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 4 | Miss Distinctive | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Will Take It | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greers Ferry | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elko County | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stronsino | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Riyadh Moon | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Major Mack | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Saturday | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secret Pocket | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Espionage | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Atta Party | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Therideofalifetime | 1.60 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lightning Struck | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin’ Hot | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bandera Azteca | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blow Torch | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Verb | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Palace Kitten | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gi Gis Map | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bump in the Night | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oh My Gawd | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Business as Usual | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Byzantine | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Town Sis | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miracle Shoes | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gata Runz | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blue Ember | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legally Lucky | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be My Huckleberry | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fashion Idol | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Just Like Magic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Delphia | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fearless Kristie | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Bad Diva | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pens Street | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Indy Again | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Start Singing | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simona’s Choice | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Honey Run | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghaaleb’s Ranger | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bachelor S.) – Bachelor S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Time for Truth | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valentine Candy | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bergen | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frost Free | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Market Street | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drewmania | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cats by Five | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s Not a Joke | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen’s Legacy | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ember’s Ash | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gun Twirl | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smarty Be Good | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mo for Us | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vino Veritas | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She Called | 1.60 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Maximus | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andrea Diane | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | California Roll | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Dig A Diamond S.) – Dig A Diamond S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hoosier Philly | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Absinthe | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bluelightspecial | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olivia Twist | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Lily | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crypto Mo | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bow Draw | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m the Boss of Me | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wildwood Bye | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bourbon On Fire | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancin Rocket | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | My Brother Mike | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lead Foot | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scott City | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Scat Danz | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chrome Candy | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gust of Wind | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macho Striker | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preacher’s Kid | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tommy Tri | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Berryville Bullet | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Sam P | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rustic Affair | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.