Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Practical Miss | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Montauk Mystique | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Teresa | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Babi Dreams | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knight Trail | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bella Isola | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dramatic Effect | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youbetterbejoking | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Youbetterbejoking | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agility | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Camm’ Duke | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solo in Paris | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dolly’s Bank | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Game Misconduct | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Unity | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Night Effect | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reserve Currency | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Memphis | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proven Hope | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All the Rage | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Mia (FR) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kerry | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Masterof the Tunes | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soloshot | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catskill Humor | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ruvies in Time | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Risk Free | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Colonel Vargo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Printrack | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Got Thunder | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | Chateau | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Mr Phil | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ryan’s Cat | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 9 | Mister J T | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 8 | Honorary Degree | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Capone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Woodhaven S.) – Woodhaven S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Carson’s Run | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Works for Me | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elysian Meadows | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Walley World | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ridgewood Runner | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Big Torpedo | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Lord Lorrie | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Poppy’s Pride | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brazillionaire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tommy Gun | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clem Labine | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince James | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Striking Speed | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Deputy | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joker Boy | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ribbons and Medals | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mount Travers | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Drive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Overacting | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artemis Girl | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mim | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Firsttimeinforever | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Being Betty | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Accelerina | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mysaria | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stella Mars | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Succulent | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roagna | 2.50 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Capital Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Fool Me | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Collect the Data | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Barron’s Bounce | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bettrluckythangood | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Koru | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scherzando | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saka Shocka | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rabaja | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Courtly Banker | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Road Soda | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dillon | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Tone | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | A Lister | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tony O | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Impulsive Spending | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | All Good Here | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Neptune Beach | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Solo Empire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.