Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Marinas Tina (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Illhaveanotherkiss |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Weemissgrammy |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
True Patriot |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Moment’s Pleasure |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Adelie (IRE) |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Disruptive Artist |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Vegas Burner |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr. Leasure |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
Eligio |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Supreme Coast |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Instinct D’ Oro |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Western Power |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Street Talker |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
98 |
Tomorrow Never Comes |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Grazed |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
McGregor Lake |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Forty Niner Gold |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Please Focus |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Devil Among Us |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Belly Up |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bronko Nagurski |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cribbage Board |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Donita Rose |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ms Moab |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Castagna |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ace Ace Baby |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blazing Bardot |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nanci Griffith |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dixie Blaze |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
High Flying Gracie |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spicy Spouse |
50.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spicy Ride |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Betty Pack |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Quintecents |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uncle Reg |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pinehurst (IRE) |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gaelic Nation (IRE) |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bowtie Boys |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Good At Being Bad |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rostovsky |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Adebayo |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Santarena |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Prosper |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Parenting |
2.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Broadway Unions |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Middleburg |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Legitify (IRE) |
6.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Corso’s Pick |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fame |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fight With Honor |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fausto |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Factory Drive |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Kitty Kitana (GB) |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Leisurewear (IRE) |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lunar Impact (GB) |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paris Secret (IRE) |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yerwanthere (IRE) |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thirty Carats |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Speed Lane |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Customer List (FR) |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lisa’s Nonno |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fayette Fox |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Indy’s Star |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zeyaraat |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sugar Fish |
2.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gila |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Precision Strike |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Herecomegeorgieboy |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tracker |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baldoro |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Six Magpies (IRE) |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zafiro Anejo |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Wrong Direction |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Goodfella (IRE) |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Ze’don |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
8 |
98 |
One Time Mark |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
11 |
Bound to Succeed |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
12 |
When Heroes Fly |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
10 |
Mongolian Max |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.