Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Band Camp | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brooklyn Guy | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maryland Moon | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eye On the Candy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toast to Coast | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Langlee Avenue | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rascally Rebel | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speak Your Mind | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Pebble | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Can | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gogo Chanel | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olive Kat | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cupids Dream | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hipnotizada | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Preparefortakeoff | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Hearts | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lance’s Smile | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldrush Hottie | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Weekend | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celtic Bond | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Honey | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Addy Mae | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Not Thistimerandy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Had Enough | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kick Startness | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thename of Thegame | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surfboard | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ascendance | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dashing d’Artagnan | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Musical Heart | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Formal Order | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Loose Goose | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stardust Ziggy | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tate | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alottacents | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cloud Music | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steele Money | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shoot Themessenger | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Virginia Fulla | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Transfer the Funds | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Homecoming King | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hurrying Home | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last Second Louie | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Law of the Jungle | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Succeed | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Verbier | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prins Fire | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Run Around Slew | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Dance | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Princess | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Intel Agent | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gate Song | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tea Rose | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Marian Cross (GB) | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Krone | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Firstlady Rosalynn | 1.60 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cooter’s Revenge (AUS) | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rye Smile | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | The Amazing Mizzen | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Margaret P | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kiss Me More | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Granuaile | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Mattie | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Continentalcongres | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’sarollingstone | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pistol Liz Ablazen | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carroll Girl | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mavilus | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Haint Blue | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Something Silly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Channel Loop | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easter Sunday Girl | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buckin’ Lucky | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tohonorstelle | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cundi | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bacall | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.