Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Bigbouquetofroses |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Down in the Bayou |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nina’s Last Gift |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gallop d’Hermes |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Olivia’s Sparkle |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saucy Six |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lace Curtain |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Cap Ferrat |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Arrogancy |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Guaicaipuro |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Victory Achieved |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lamcaro |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Drunk Neighbor |
15.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Soar Richard |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Run Carson |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
De Boer |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Four Beach Friends |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Fregon |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Manhattan Boy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
I Am the Game |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Purecrazigroove |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lookinassah |
1.80 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Infamous Nono |
1.40 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tejota |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Toby |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Danley |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Jonas’ Dream |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Golden Sombrero |
4.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Adios Papa Chico |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Timaeus |
1.40 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bullet Blues |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kinsman Redeemer |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Breeze the Bayou |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Treasure King |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lord of War |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Masterofthesenate |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kuramata (IRE) |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ocala Dream |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smart Striker |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rock the Stars |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sigrun Fast Boy |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Megayacht |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Palace View (IRE) |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Spirit of Victory |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Take the Cookies |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smart Jenny |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Banana Split |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ellagio |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Keep in Touch |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vindicate Cha Cha |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Judy Blue |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rose Dancer |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Singing Sandra |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mi Amore |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
A Palace for Mom |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
House of Melody |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Good Bright Flames |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Palace Zip |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
In Our Time |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Rezasrolex |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jabran |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Adios Cole |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pack Plays |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Our Legal Tender |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eastbostonbenny |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Korrongo |
4.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vinsanity |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Racing Star |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Souper Crunchy |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Never Say Never |
15.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ciao Chuck |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Can’t Jump |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Test Factor |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Star of the Beast |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Modica |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Riverwalk |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Catch a Tiger |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saltwater Cowboy |
5.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Moral Agency |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Youramystyle |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Quistmer |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Souper Attentive |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.