Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Windy Walk |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
E Stormy |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
La Picasita |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fasta Lavista Baby |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Delighted |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Soul Heir |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Windy Walk |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Golden Penny |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cause Ima Rose |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trotter |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hold My Crown |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Quincy Rider |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Trust Daddy |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Forge in Fire |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Time Muse |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Merlotti |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cruisin and Boozin |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Redhill |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
More Than Five |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Beaumont Red |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Villain |
|
0 |
0-1 |
11 |
11 |
Radical Mischief |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cameo Performance |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Green Light |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Enhanced Scat |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Salb |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Indy Charge |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ped d’Oro |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Villain |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cinder Block |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
7 |
7 |
Acting Debut |
12.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spin It |
5.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
5 |
5 |
Garden Leave |
8.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
15 |
15 |
Sardis |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Culprit |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
John the Beer Man |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
San Martin |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
American Maestra |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grace Given |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
American Maestra |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sarissa |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dice Arm |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
She’s a Saint |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Always Dream Big |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kazillion |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Pretty Lily |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Anointed of God |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Lite It Up Louie |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Hidden Stash |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Who Took the Money |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Verbal |
15.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Utah Beach |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Headline News |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dai Vernon |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Six Minus |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wow Whata Summer |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tartufo |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Classic Creation |
15.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mutakatif (IRE) |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Blown Cover |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr. Faversham |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stingy |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Montevallo |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Yo Daddy |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
J T’s Imagination |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dr Bayter |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Papa Yo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
J Bird Time |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Last Call |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zipadoo |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Get Your Kicks |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Boss Lady Bailey |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Texas Shuffle |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Notinamillionyears (IRE) |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Emily Kathryn |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Implosion |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Catmint |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
High Stick |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lucky Ana |
50.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
13 |
13 |
Right Now |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Big Brass Bed |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Downtownchalybrown |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Solidify |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mac Daddy Too |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Voodoo Zip |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pure Panic |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Downtownchalybrown |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lunar Module |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gunner Bay |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chambers Bay |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Navy Soul |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Foreign Relations |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beuys (IRE) |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
High Tide |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ohana Honor |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Regal Kingdom |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
He’s Got Swagger |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
First Strike |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wind Twist |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
English Challenge |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
King Curlin |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Kerouac |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Calycanthus |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.