Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haberdashery | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Summer Storm Stric | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Admiral’s Wave | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hendrickson | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Man | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Haberdashery | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Mar | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Man Jimmy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | St. Joe Louis (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Red Hot Spark | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mas Vino | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cosmic Symphony | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | For the Thrill | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Athletic | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghoz On | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patty’s Having Fun | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Kingdom | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sand Wedge | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Aberdeen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tinki Abarrio | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Max | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Danzit | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laurie Blue | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Moonlight | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tap My Belle | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ash Wednesday | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Corona Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Real Talk | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maptitude | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Float On | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scaramanga | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luni Sima | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Recruit | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Crusader | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alybaer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Brizel | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Backchat | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Citizen K | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frank’s Art | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Motivo | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victors Valiant | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unequivocally | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bivol | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Ambition | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goodstone | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mekele | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carentan | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vintage Vino | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mellifluous | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Valued Cajun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Episode | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Last Episode | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pacific Front | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street View | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spirit in the Mist (FR) | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tina Ballerina | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jillaroo | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Kestrel | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Streeterville | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Victory Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mama Bella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mer Soleil | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mailman Money | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thought | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eastside Cool | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bank Frenzy | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Drama | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coppermaster | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cacciatore | 1.40 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Candy Gray | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jayana | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dot | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Great | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caress | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belle’s Blue Bell | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miuccia | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tally’s River | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charge Off | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Cap | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joint Resolution | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rebel Jackson | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cloak and Dagger | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Tiger | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baltic Prince | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | We Got This | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Muntaliq | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Rags Special | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tufnel | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teofimo | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Dither | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fight Til Dawn | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Grand Tower | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Thingsrgettinharry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.