Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Heads Or Tails |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Royal Spy |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crownedcountcristo |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Living Water |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bonnie Bill |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mojovation |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Quick Return |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Tommy the Torch |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Stickwiththecolors |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Goodnightngodbless |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crusader Rabbit |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Super Simplify |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Discreet Ops |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Determined Blue |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Low Mileage |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fortune’s Fool |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
10 |
Shivaree |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Walk Away Joe |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Curlington |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hanalei’s Houdini |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Naked and Famous |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stacks of Silver |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Golden Gulley |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Loose Goose |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Roan Burgundy |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Heavenly Cause S.) – Heavenly Cause S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Intrepid Dream |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Doctor Abbie |
15.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cats Inthe Timber |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Shild O Mine |
1.80 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pistol Liz Ablazen |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Too Many Kisses |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Wonder Girl |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cozy Notion |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Italian War Cry |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Conceptualize |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dead Sexy |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Norah Boo |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Enkindle |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Edna |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Little Lia |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Ophelia |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bay Street |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Red Wine Time |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cover the Spread |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brooklyn Girl |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thencomemorning |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Midsummers Eve |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Angelofcanterbury |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Golden Charm |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Sugar Boo |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Burningupthedough |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kingdom Force |
20.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Neil to the King |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dance for Green |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Lance |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Irish Bandit |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hammer |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Shake the Gold |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Chuck Adams |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Primonetta S.) – Primonetta S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Disco Ebo |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Centre Court Champ |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Disco Ebo |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Anonymously |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Beneath the Stars |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Secret Love |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Kant Hurry Love |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Photo Finish |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Frank Y. Whiteley S.) – Frank Y. Whiteley S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Coastal Mission |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Twenty Four Mamba |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Swiftsure |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Prince of Jericho |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dontmesawithme |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Royal Ship (BRZ) |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brilliant Ice |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Union Fleet |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brother Conway |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Native Dancer S.) – Native Dancer S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Magic Michael |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Be Better |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vance Scholars |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shaft’s Bullet |
1.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ain’t Da Beer Cold |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
It’s Sizzling Time |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hay Chief |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
A Girl Named Jac |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ladro Di Fichi |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Happy Tappy Tim |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ice Cube Baby |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Calypso Ghost |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gold Time Vixen |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Heidelberg |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fainor’s Filets |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.