Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Take Shape |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Dixie |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Divinely Bolt |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
It Wasn’t Me |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shear |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jackie’s Love |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Q Bond |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Chiquita Mosca |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Perfect Shances |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Her Holy Name |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Misty Sunday |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Citizen Judy |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Baytown Amy Rose |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Baytown Storm |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rio de Paz |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cruz Chica |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Image of Me |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Blue Vortex |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tres Chic (ARG) |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Silent Secretary (BRZ) |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pittore d’Oro |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Luminous Ruler |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stage Right |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maylen |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fedah |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Inspector Penny |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Snap Judgement |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Jefferson Street |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rock N Roll Bolt |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Accident |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Guilty Affair |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tonka Trouble |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cage Match |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Midway Lights |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Paved in Gold |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Write Off Jerry |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Luke |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dual Monarchy |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Striking Sparks |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Haskelled |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Liams Lad |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Americus |
8.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Writeitontheice |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Welaka |
10.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fan the Fire |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Spansive |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stir Crazy |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ro Town |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Strikingly Spun |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
13 |
13 |
Story Hour |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Woohoo Jackie Blue |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quality Star |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Swoop to Finish |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Pleasant Passage |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Make the Boys Wink |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Secret Statement |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Embrace Me |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Papilio (IRE) |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
C F V Bullet |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Harold’s Cloud |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sant’ Antimo |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
American Hero |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Liam the Brave |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yono |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stirdatpot |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cote d’Ivoire |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cooke Creek |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
My Romeo Lima |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Limited Liability |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gunton Roe |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Santorini |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quadra Island |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
El Kabong |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uncle Jake |
10.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bay Street Money |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Fort Washington |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Chasing the Crown |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Underdressed |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Ready to Purrform |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Giant Game |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Hayes Strike |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
The Grey Wizard (IRE) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Perfectly Wicked |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lanetta |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Laserjet |
20.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rock Star Doctor |
15.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blue Guitar |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Upswell |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vivid Exposure |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Al Tirah |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Missy Bee |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dreaming Always |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Marco Sunset |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.