Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Queens M G | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Image of Me | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pounds in Town | 30.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whatintheliteral | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Queens M G | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | West Memorial | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Island Ride | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Cleopatra | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Camila Run | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookatmybuckle | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Medusa | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Lass | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Misty Sunday | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Kaufy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Baytown Storm | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youmustbea Weasley | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Supremely | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halloween | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hocus | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | J. P. Race | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Youmustbea Weasley | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oncoming Train | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Jedi | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pico d’Oro | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Barksdale | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Richie M | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tizzy Indy | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Fast | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fear and Loathing | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Northern Chill | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Illini | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Stormy | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Newhart | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Gentleman | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ruleroftheuniverse | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Ana | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Landed | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Befriended | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sing a Little Song | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yes Indeed | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Jamie | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Good Time | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fourfiftyseven | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Mayfair | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Driana | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pammy’s Ready | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Rockette | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Admissible | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hurricane Debbie | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Howboutdemapples | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run for the Hills | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peacock Lass | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boudoir Burlesque | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frango Electrico | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Up and Down | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hideki | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Covenant Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Laura’s Charm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Secret Statement | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Erna | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ava Moon Pie | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sicilian Princess | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jessamine Hill | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Encourageachother | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mystical Chant | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sidamara | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Restless Dreamer | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chilled | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Letstalkaboutme | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yay Hooray | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Claire’s Jete | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Basking | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Shopper | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Foreseen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Neon Icon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Spirited | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Palisades S.) – Palisades S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | No Nay Mets (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mattingly | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Refuel | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shards | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fandom (GB) | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aspenite | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Committee of One | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Boy Prince | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coin Miner | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Heart | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ceepeegee | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mansa Musa (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Works for Me | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sketch (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Middleground Capital Beaumont S.) – Middleground Capital Beaumont S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Denim and Pearls | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Youalmosthadme | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tipsy Tammy | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vicountess | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harbor Springs | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chi Chi | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sake (FR) | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tituba | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Squash Blossom | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cadencia | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Justifiable Belle | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King’s Secret (GB) | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apropos | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Foley | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Condone | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cant Keep Me Down | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bag Lady | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ladan | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Catmint | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Excellent Question | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hola Gata | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Boss Lady Bailey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.