Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Play Good Pay Good | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Fashion Kate | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Corkage Fee | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bette Davis | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Berlaine | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noshugforpop | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lubu | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Idalou | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mila Junes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | El Dandi | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turnbuckle | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strummin | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chado | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fortheloveofrun | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shoot It True | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Baracus | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Indigo Wind | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vinegar Hill | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bostontonian | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ace It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | La Marinera | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jet Sweep Joe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo Stash | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run Curtis Run | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Hot Rod | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chiseler | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Aaron | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Counterstrike | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Judge Davis | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Molto Vivace | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | B D Valeski | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bushido | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bedazzle ‘Em | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sense of Pearl | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Neat Trick | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Madison | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tammy’s Cruiser | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss Me Again | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bells Beach | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Grace | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Saint | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cleopatra Selene | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Talonnade | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Sedona | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Everything Bugs Me | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Swans Cove | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sy B | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Morning Splendor | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Priscilla’s Cove | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Capo Donna | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Latte | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sava | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rock Lucky | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spinning Class | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Queens Fable (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Lafayette S.) – Lafayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Booth | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doncho | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bolt At Midnight | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glengarry | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Who Dey | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Chatterbox | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty Indulgence | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scatify | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sam’s Treasure | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legadema | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Best Kiss Yet | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon Breeze | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amor Fati | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Streaming Now | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cozee Rags | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Buttercream Babe | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roswell | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Just Great | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vicountess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Harbor Springs | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Transylvania S. Presented By Keeneland Select) – Transylvania S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lord Bullingdon | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Musical Act (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Oscar’s World | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guy Named Joe | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Bullingdon | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Full Nelson | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First World War | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cugino | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lagynos | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Can Group | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neat | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Musical Act (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tennessee | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Depiction | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Camaro Z | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Royal Majesty (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Central Bank Ashland S.) – Central Bank Ashland S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leslie’s Rose | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Leslie’s Rose | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Impel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just F Y I | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candied | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jody’s Pride | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leslie’s Rose | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Standoutsensation | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shimmering Allure | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halina’s Forte | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Presence | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Gambler | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guinevere | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mizoula (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Speech | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Justdeny | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hand It Over | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tonalite | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Redo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Faith Understood | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Choate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stephanieswarrior | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Foreseen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mont Saint Michel (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.