Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mahina |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grazed My Heart |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Control Function |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
In Your Face |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’s a Joker |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quaria Thunder |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spring Magic |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dendera |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ur in Trouble |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sugar Fish |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Petite Ange |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pace Lane |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Allure |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queen Girvin |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Good Vibes Only |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Disco Ball |
1.40 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Top Gun Tommy |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Little H Man |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mastermind |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
The Wild Grazer (IRE) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carmen Miranda |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Benedict Canyon |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Wild Grazer (IRE) |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Princess Bettina |
1.60 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Speed Lane |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Eight Clap |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Des Doigts |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Autism Puzzle |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Petesoldfashioned |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lettheliquortalk |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Salsation |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
3 |
When Heroes Fly |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
5 |
Empire’s Classic |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Citadino |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Promissio |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Mongolian Max |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Sinful King |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Wrong Direction |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Bound to Succeed |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Daddy Justify |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
98 |
Gazon (GB) |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
La Deuxieme Etoile |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sand to Sea |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Hello |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Abhita |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tizzy Twister |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stay in Line |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Formidable Man |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bandwagon |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rastaman Vibe |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
El Rey Rey |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moonlit Sonata |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Foot |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Uncle Truly |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Better Than Gold |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mighty Kai |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.