Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Clearly Creeps | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chapellete | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lawless Times | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rusty’s Sunrise | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mallory Unbridled | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awree | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Walksonwater | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jet Rocket | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moion | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mallory’s Ocean | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chuchi | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Radiant Rebel | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D’busker | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkle City | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secretly Sweet | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Plane Talk | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On Your Mark | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crew Dragon | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double Edge Sword | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Cool | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Not On Herb | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curly Jack | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ambivalent | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into the Sunrise | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| Ambivalent | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Olivia G | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Smoking | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drewsilla | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shes a Lucky Rebel | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shelli’s Angel | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R T’s Gem | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Izzy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tipsy Runner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Em | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Integrated Design | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleet Frost | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Intermittent Fast | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reagan’s Flame | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Share the Blessing | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Heavenly | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imaboutago (IRE) | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cash Fever | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quarrymen | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Macho Forty Five | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghent | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gracious Kat | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | First Class Harlow | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Liam | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Civilian | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seeking Sawyer | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Fig | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Voyant | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Night Out | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justifreak | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carthage Cajun | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sugar Hook | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Dispatch | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Cupid | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Mendelssohn | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sweetalkingbourbon | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Road | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Devilsgotacause | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sabi | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Fast Solution | 8.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Eagle | 8.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Might as Well | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Family Creed | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Heatseeker | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skinny Bobby | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Native Star | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gobot | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carlos’s Mama | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Iron N Steel | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | True Crimson | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ide Like Hawaii | 4.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Crazy | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Ready | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Strike | 30.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Little Warrior | 15.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chief Kimosabi | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.