Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ima Joker 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Americandreammaker 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Tahini 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Auratium 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Circle of Trust 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Matters 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Westphalia 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Runyon Canyon 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lansdowne (GB) 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Mitico 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Divine Rascal 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Elevado 1.60 3.9 7-1
2 2 Afternoon Heat 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Rogue Son 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 We’ll Do It Live 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Creative Quality 1.60 3.1 6-1
6 6 Nanci Griffith 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Winning Luck 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Eva’s Party 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Club Ribbon 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Topolina 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Blonde Bombshell 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Dolly May (IRE) 4.00 5 9-1
5 5 Corporal Violette (IRE) 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Arinniti (FR) 2.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Suffice 5.00 6 11-1
7 7 Wink Wish and Park 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Easter Coming Back 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 High Flying Gracie 12.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Suzzie’s Darlin 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Spicy Ride 3.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Perfect in Gray 4.00 6 11-1
6 6 Fancy Fascinator 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Ace Ace Baby 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Issa Court 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sand to Sea 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Illhaveanotherkiss 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 True Patriot 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Abhita 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Jessebear 6.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Vronsky Feint 6.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Court Snort 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Known Idea 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 J Dutton 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Special Club 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Uncle Chilly 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Mystic Spirit 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Drive for Show 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Striking Thunder 30.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Travelin’ Show 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Anmer Hall 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tarantino 5.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Mubtadaa 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Mega Moon 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Goldeneye 4.00 2 4-1
8 8 Single Track Mind (IRE) 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Explain This Audit 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Silent Heat 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Classic Creation 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.