Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bolkin |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fort Charles |
1.20 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Uzziah |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Exclusive Dancer |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blazing Tyreek |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Torrefactor |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Max Forward Speed |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Solar Flash |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Gran Roque |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Peach Nectar |
10.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Don’t Answer |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Souper Sunshine |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Chaos |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Grand Bey |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Christensen |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tejota |
3.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Joyful Surprise |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Devilment |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chaplin |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Birthday Munnings |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Readier |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Secret Threat |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Acquisitive |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Proverb |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cajun Brother |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Star Sign |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Storm Brave |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Uranium |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Double Play King |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vikram |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cobble Road |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Gambling Holiday |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Uncaptured Boy |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Patrolman |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
This Dude a Breeze |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Berlone |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Steven |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hari |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bold Looker |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Summer Storm Stric |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gabagool |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Mar |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diamond Messa |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kantbackoff |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cardio Princess (JPN) |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dubstep |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Goodbetterbest |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
I Believe in Magic |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hits Different |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Frank’s Art |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Surrogate |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Media Sensation |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Exult |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Don’t Let Me Down |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midway Mischief |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gilded Age |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flatter Me |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cousin Kristi |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
American of Course |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Olga |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hihellohowareyou |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gunesh |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sophia’s Storm |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Founder’s Day |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Marthamaywhovier |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lady Cha Cha |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roscoe Village |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Refugiada |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Skinny Cosmo |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Carrington |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beira |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sadie the Goat |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Special Affair |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.