Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zoom Erin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Shylock | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swizzlecity | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be Bo | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ryan’s Grace | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indy Lover | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roll Gypsy Roll | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Macee | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freeform | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lily’s Creed | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Plants and Birds | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star’s Dream | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Melody | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Priestly | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cced for Steph | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Why Wait | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Addi Bug | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Necaise | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crypto Brave | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Loyal to the Chief | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bless d’South | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stop Shop N Drop | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Julio Choice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | On the Nile | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cora’s Legacy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Answer the Call | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Berlaine | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Nancy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jocasta | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Cruella | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unfathomed | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Le Roy | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pinch Me a Penny | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zong Tough | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | And Fifty | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Northernreflection | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cherokee Takeover | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gallant Star | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steal It Back | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Laughing Out Loud | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Lover | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Southern Girl | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Scaloneta | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Aberdeen | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zoe’s Prime | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gift Gorgeous | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Becca | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shetalkstoangels | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Freeburn | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dat Guitar | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luyv | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Liberty | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cankton’s Cowgirl | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dance Lil Darling | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Running Argument | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Guitar Solo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hero Worship | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Hero Worship | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Map to the Stars | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baltimore Heart | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Runaway Joke | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bronte Diem | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caper’s Hooley | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Takethefifth | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Lord | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucchesi | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mister Lincoln | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Honorandprinciple | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Coach Campbell | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bitsy’s Star | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Matzoh Ball | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Sassicaia | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Puppeteer | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dee’s Legs | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inglis | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gumball | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Season | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Social Solution | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Computerized | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hit the Bullseye | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.