Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Summerstateofmind |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Super Needy |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Restless |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Connectamundo |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Owhatanite |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sin Permiso |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Succeed |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gambling Tzar |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Food Foodie |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Long Live Now |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boca Guy |
2.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Appendage |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Major Cam |
4.50 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Succeed |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Castle Island |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Marty’s Magic |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silent Mode |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Run for Reagan |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stormy Seas |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Son of a Buck |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Cavendish |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mose Perfect |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
7 |
Legal Deal |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
A C Expressway |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brother Brad |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
8 |
Your Analysis |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
9 |
Joe |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Irish Boolum |
15.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
1 |
2 |
Uncle Irish |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
One Ten |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gabriel Seven |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Never Grew Up |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dream River |
20.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Paco the Taco Man |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jumpingjaggerflash |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chica Chuck |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Cali Heat |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Mucho Tigger |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Remember Me |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
True Sunshine |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ree Nee’s Six |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Feelin So Lucky |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blue Trillion |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lilly Lightning |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sheherhers |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bunny Hop |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sumo |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Backnthewoods |
1.80 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Privet Moon |
2.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chief Ron |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Take Charge Too |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Mamba |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Northern Glow |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
She’sarollingstone |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ninja Abarrio |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gun Runnin’ Gal |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brooklyn Girl |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Solving Progress |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mischief Motion |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Midsummers Eve |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Voodoo Priestess |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mucho Macho Mrytle |
1.20 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Coal’s Magnolia |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Best Worst Idea |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Preakness Party |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nevertoomuchelvis |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Loki’s Lightning |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.