Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 10, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Noble Bernadette 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Upswell 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Playmate 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Kazillion 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Capella Red 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Gather the Facts 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Inspector Penny 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Montana Rose 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hardly Able 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 F T W Slam 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Forty Three 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Goldenlute 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Heza Sexy Zong 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Cpriority 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Iron N Steel 15.00 8 15-1
10 10 Order Up 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cajun Ami 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 My Pal Sweet 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Monsieur Candy 0 0-1
8 8 Springtown 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Captivating Star 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Gus’s Dream World 20.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Monsieur Candy 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Gordito Hermoso 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Leisurely 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Chaste One 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Josie’s Priority 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Back Bayou 8.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Kathlyns Phalanx 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sunny Sassicaia 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kyle Beauty 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Country Lady 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Commercial Flash 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Cajun Catalina 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Hopeitsmyluckyday 8.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Ours and Theirs 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Miss Kennedy 5.00 7 13-1
8 8 Copper Moon 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Lady Hopper 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Calling 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zaici 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hammerin Aamer 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 I Will Stand 6.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Classic King 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Freightrainfreeman 12.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Paynt Battle 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Keys Included 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Bonus Appreciation 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Nate’s Attack 15.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Max Pandowdy 30.00 8 15-1
7 7 Gimme Some Mo 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Courageous Timmy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Le Monstre Rapide 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lordy Lordy 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Angelic Knight 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Battalion Strike 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Custom Cadillac 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Got Me a Chrysler 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Boy Charlie 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Reddingandlee 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 High Cruise 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Bizzee Channel 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Firewater Jake 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 High Tide 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Duke of Carthania 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Shady McGee (IRE) 12.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Parrot Head 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bourbon Day 3.50 5.7 11-1
9 9 He’s Got This 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Nobrag Justfact 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Doctor Nash 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Keen Cat 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Catalina Day 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Gray Dane 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Put It Back Dave 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Taurean 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 J L Pac Man 12.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Measure of Faith 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Purrrfect Rhythm 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Saucer Eyes 20.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 Letmikefigureitout 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Country Choice 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Clement’s Note 20.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Matzoh Ball 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Jude’s Lil Rouge 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.