Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Give Me the Lute | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cane Creek Road | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kanderel | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disko Tribute | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silardi | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devil Moon | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | John Dunbar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golf Drama | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Beams | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | L’Enfant Dit | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent Ride | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dutch Bus | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thrust | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fireman Dan | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quagmire Magic | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiger’s Arrow | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Prosper | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heart of the Night | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fleet Feet | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Balthazar | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vader | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Logan’s Red Falcon | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khantaro d’Oro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Promissio | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feel the Magic | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Winterfell | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canada Gate | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ball Don’t Lie | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Santarena | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pony Express | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vlahos | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Mo’s Gold | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arabian Flirt | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thrumps Dream (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madiha | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cornelia Fort | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Patsy | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alternate Rock | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Firsttimeinforever | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Myfavoritedaughter | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Real Fire | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irresistible Force | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Santa Ysabel S.) – Santa Ysabel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kinza | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Tempest | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimate Authority | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nay V Belle | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Where’s My Ring | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shiloh’s Mistress | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pacific Rose | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ifuaintfirsturlast | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (San Simeon S.) – San Simeon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dancing Buck | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Lane Way | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sumter | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Air Force Red | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Del Oro | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irideo (ARG) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Buck | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ottoman Prince (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daniel’s Magic | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mynumerouno (AUS) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Beholder Mile S.) – Beholder Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adare Manor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Interstatedaydream | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coffee in Bed | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Green Up | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Dawn | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kirstenbosch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Azteca | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Window Shopping | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Turnerloose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jane Kendeigh | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Castagna | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Headed for Om | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Have Patience | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breezy Blue | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pippa Philipa | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annie Fox | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Club Teaser | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Marilyn Lonhro | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady P | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Envisioned | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.