Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Petesoldfashioned | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good At Being Bad | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bowtie Boys | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Takamakahara | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Puddin Head Jones | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brunch With Amy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bonaqua | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Kitten | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corposo | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Fashion | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Girvin | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nesso’s Lastharrah | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beer Money | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximum Capacity | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Big Bucks | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Des Doigts | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flying Drummer | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hero Status | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s My House | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ginobili | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oviatt Class | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | National Generaux (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Billy’s Bet | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derecho Dandy | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stop and a Tres | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Worse Read Sanchez | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Mission | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Irish Wahine | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trouble N Paradise | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Paloma Blanca | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blackened | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keep Your Coil | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vella | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Family Trips | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm d’Oro | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dallas Alice | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Swear Dave | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | General Mathis | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marks Hip | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Atomic Drop | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bee Catcher | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flavius | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sydney Street (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Speed Grazy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Flyer | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barely Funtional | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On the Whim | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nauvoo | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | California Tiger | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | City of Angels | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brazenly | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.