Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Von Hoff |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Goodafternoonoscar |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Big Enchilada |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Box N Ben |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Super Bourbon |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lost Weekend |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ferrari Kid |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Will Or Won’t |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Irish Lace |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thunder Buggy |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Matoula |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Talia |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Congress Hall |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Feathers (IRE) |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Redwhiteandtacos |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Nico Lucky |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Where’s Ray |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Perspicacious Boy |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Army Cadet |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nico Lucky |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
I Wanna Rock |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scat Danz |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bridge to Success |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Smooth Rico |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nick’s Little Boy |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mr. Mox |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Class Actor |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
One More Factor |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pressing Concern |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Patriotic Party |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grand Manner |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Workin On a Dream |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silent Service |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Masai Man |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Rowdy Dan |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Commanding General |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Heads Or Tails |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Addy’s Laddy T N T |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hotpot |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aequor |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Rakia |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Force of Justice |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
One Way Farrior |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mister Agent |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Buckin’ Dreamer |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Burningupthedough |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dubai Fire |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Irish Bandit |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stop Being Greedy |
6.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ascendance |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
1 |
1 |
Square Slice |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Hateful |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Easter Sunday Girl |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Walk Inthe Park |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiz Vinno |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
By the Glass |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yumyum Eat Em Up |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Flag Song Flyin |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maximum Emily |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Royal Seamstress |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chickahominy |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Devil Pays in Gold |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Angel Art |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Angelofcanterbury |
4.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lassie’s Notion |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Edge of Glory |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Storming Chrome |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Find Faith |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Master of None |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Centurion |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brooklyn Guy |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Battle of Bastogne |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.