Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Boliver | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baron of the Nile | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gemstone Warrior | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legendary Dragon | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dromas | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Square | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dats True Love | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Itellyouthefacts | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy’s Soulmate | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Play Master | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hoosier | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scoring Drive | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmie’s Halo | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Main Dude | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hail the Cat | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Putthehammerdown | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stone Alliance | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prizeless | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adieu Aces | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Veterans Day | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hostile Afleet | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carlos Punch | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charli Michael | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Freddie Mac | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wise Anchor | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Priority | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | My Bariley | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hoodlum | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Telephone Talker | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Second of July | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bode’s Light | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Attack | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Callinginthenight | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | State of the Union | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Indimaaj | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chaosmos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Malthael | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gimme Some Mo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Optimus Kat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shady McGee (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Harold’s Cloud | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Romeo Lima | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uxmal | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ricky Bobby | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flawless Ruler | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Julia’s Warrior | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Temple City Run | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grapes for Eloise | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goldys Lock | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Riley Jean | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiesta Besta | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms. Lilibet | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musical Prayer | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Collier | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elliptic | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Boss Soss | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dude Drop Kid | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ranch Water | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tambourine Star | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Duvee | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Deal Me Aces | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Peso Pesado | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sonya Knows Better | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Credo | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coffee County | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joey’s Game | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tincan Cat | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Linzer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Higgins Boat | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Last Attack | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Romance | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Radical Mischief | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frio River | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Successful Run | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glacial Power | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Painted Sunday | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ped d’Oro | 6.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorandprinciple | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bronte Diem | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Takethefifth | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Courageous Cupid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Baltimore Heart | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hero Worship | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | He’s Just Lucky | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Cyclone | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jayde’s Bandit | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No More Words | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hennessy Wild | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Punches | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Chico | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Muncle | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Connectique | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aller Vite | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Determination | 6.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Put It Back Dave | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fran’s Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.