Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Dixie Preach 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sugar It’s Eli 15.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Sting Music 10.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Sweet Travels 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Dollar Liberty 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Speed Control 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Immortal Lion 5.00 6.1 12-1
15 15 Tiggeroo 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Homer Jones 3.50 7.1 13-1
7 7 Exclusive Dancer 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Joe From Kiev 15.00 8.3 16-1
14 14 Jake’s Affection 30.00 10.9 21-1
4 4 Go Go Santi 30.00 10.9 21-1
9 9 Bailamos 20.00 12.3 23-1
3 3 Tiverton 30.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Builder Jak 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Peyton’s Day 3.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Macuto 8.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Torrefactor 30.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Kuwait Towers 6.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Johnny From Boston 6.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Federal Highway 12.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Flashover 15.00 9.6 18-1
4 4 Modern Lane 4.00 9.8 19-1
8 8 Sleipnir 30.00 10.8 20-1
9 9 Cross Exam 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Grand Journey 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Pound Green 2.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 My Man Vito 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Infamous Covert 3.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Artemus Bridge 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Gliding Afleet 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Thenorthremembers 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Test Factor 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Crash the Gate 6.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Bonus Move 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Great Lilo 30.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Forceful 4.00 7 13-1
15 15 Snowname 30.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Mischief Exposed 30.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Lamcaro 15.00 9.5 18-1
16 16 Fregon 15.00 10.2 19-1
4 4 Victory Achieved 6.00 10.3 19-1
8 8 Irish Heartbeat 8.00 10.5 20-1
3 3 Gallant Mischief 12.00 10.7 20-1
10 10 Endless Reign 6.00 12.2 23-1
13 13 Urge to Merge (IRE) 8.00 12.6 24-1
9 9 Roaring Indian 20.00 15.2 29-1
2 2 Sentenza 15.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ashima 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Whatta World 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Movin’ On Up 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Boomin’ Belle 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Goats On a Tree 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Enticing Sunset 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Good Bright Flames 30.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Oro Oro 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Elysian Field 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Party On Girl (IRE) 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Big Brass Bed 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Queen Macha 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Ro Town 8.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Love Her Lots 15.00 7.2 14-1
13 13 Miscreant 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Our Dotsie 5.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Euphima (ARG) 6.00 9 17-1
12 12 Texas Shuffle 6.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Boss Lady Bailey 50.00 10.5 20-1
2 2 Implosion 15.00 11.6 22-1
10 10 Stephanie’s Charm 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
On Command 0 0-1
3 3 Bedazzle ‘Em 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Vincey Girl 6.00 4 7-1
5 5 Neat Trick 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Reliable Lady 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Ash Wednesday 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Sedona 3.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 On Command 5.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Margaux Treasure 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Run for the Hills 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ivory Moon 5.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 St. Pat’s Day 10.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Star Candy 8.00 2 4-1
10 10 Oh Darlin 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Qualy 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Starship Nala 20.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Wide West (IRE) 3.50 5.9 11-1
9 9 Isabel Alexandra (IRE) 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Owen’s Tour Guide 30.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Moon Ray (FR) 10.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cattin 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cacciatore 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Ensign Parker 3.50 1.9 3-1
2 2 Holiday Fantasy 12.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Bird Wildcat 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Game Boy Benny 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Morgan Point 4.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Mauna Kea Bound 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Alley Oop Johnny 12.00 1 2-1
14 14 Rotterdam 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Sir London 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Scramble 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Good Medicine 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bohemian Boy 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 What Say Thee 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Nate the Great 10.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 American Diamond 8.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Fredo 4.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 O Captain 20.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Torigo 10.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 Ruse 6.00 12.5 24-1
11 11 Weyhill Road 12.00 12.6 24-1
16 16 Leslie Chow 30.00 15.2 29-1
9 9 Hakkimi (CHI) 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Sizzle 30.00 1 2-1
5 5 Katherine Thomas 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Braid 4.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Spinning Class 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Talonnade 10.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Cefalu (FR) 12.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Jessamine Hill 4.50 9.6 18-1
3 3 Mizoula (IRE) 8.00 10 19-1
8 8 Mama Bella 6.00 10.5 20-1
13 13 Gossiper 20.00 12.6 24-1
11 11 Grayosh 5.00 13 25-1
4 4 Spirit in the Mist (FR) 30.00 13.1 25-1
12 12 Sassy Princess 10.00 13.5 26-1
14 14 Mexican Sugar 30.00 14.3 27-1
10 10 Day Away 30.00 15.5 29-1
16 16 Tape Runner 15.00 16 30-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.