Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flower Cat | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief’s Machine | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sailor Chow | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shut Up Man | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scooteranddabigman | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mark the Moose | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foolish Steve | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Ron | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Runninginthemoney | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Field of Vision | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Jam | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Schnell | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Kenny | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unanimously | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arctic Rose | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Premo | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Because the Night | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Athens Moon | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Billy’s Got Issues | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liquid Addiction (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Under Surveillance | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gluckstadt | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mauritius | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Three Gold Pieces | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Midway | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin At Betty | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sergeant Reckless | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Rocky | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Laughinalltheway | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Raid | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Single Ruler | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Spark | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What’s Up Doc | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gilded Craken | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kolomio | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Lady Aberdeen | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lyrical Pardon | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Martynas’ Joy | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Affection | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Star Anise | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mrs. Katz | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Kisses | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wine and Waves | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kimber Spice | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She a Baddie | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Collier | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Share the Blessing | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Myiyla | 5.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marys Wine | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grand Love | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coexist | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Shild O Mine | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tipsy Tammy | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thisoneisforyou | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Huntleigh | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Broken Hearts Bay | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wupkar | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hayunevano | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | De’ Ans Eighty | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catskill Humor | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Truly Grateful | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Numero Seis | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Empires Princess | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Neutralize | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Performer | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miss River Rat | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Lani | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Port Townsend | 3.50 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Flower | 6.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Great Maybe | 6.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Box of Pictures | 12.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Firing Bullets | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bet On Bourbon | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isolation | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dolly’s Guitar | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bind On Earth | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Year’s Party | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Runnin Afleet | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Charlie Gras | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alexaplayborntorun | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sienna Breeze | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.