Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Annointed |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tour the City |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Domingo |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thornbury |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jhirsch |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Supreme Dominance |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Artempus |
8.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
7 |
7 |
Linesman |
4.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
12 |
12 |
De La Cruz |
15.00 |
12.9 |
24-1 |
1 |
1 |
El Rezeen |
6.00 |
12.9 |
24-1 |
9 |
9 |
Speedreader |
15.00 |
13.2 |
25-1 |
13 |
13 |
Steadfast Resolve |
8.00 |
13.4 |
25-1 |
14 |
14 |
Gallic Charm |
6.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
3 |
3 |
Got Sunny |
15.00 |
14.7 |
28-1 |
10 |
10 |
The Dover Specter |
30.00 |
15 |
28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mo Rhodes |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big City |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Be You |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tapakena |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Show Boat |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jefferson Street |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Acclaimed Victor |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Howard Wolowitz |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Heat Lightning |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Colonel Liam S.) – Colonel Liam S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Cugino |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silent Heart |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Freedom Principle |
12.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Okiro |
15.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tocayo |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Abrumar |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Triple Espresso |
4.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rapture Bay |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Royal Majesty (GB) |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ohana Honor |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Skyro |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Regal Kingdom |
20.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Amstrong |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lure Him In |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Congruent |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Exact Estimate |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Legacy Isle |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
He’s a Mess |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Rockemperor (IRE) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
|
|
Exact Estimate |
|
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Never Surprised |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Let It Ride |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
English Bee |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Quality G |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Loyal Company |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reckoning Force |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
15 |
15 |
Kuramata (IRE) |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Risk Manager |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
American Speed |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Belouni (FR) |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiz Romantic |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Smokin’ Jay |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
14 |
14 |
Stat |
8.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
J P Hellish |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Indestructible (IRE) |
4.50 |
15 |
28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Khozeiress |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Implementation |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kingsbarns |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Baby Yoda |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dangerous Ride |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Positive Review |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Howling Time |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lightning Tones |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Mac Diarmida S. Presented By Corniche) – Mac Diarmida S. Presented By Corniche
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Headline News |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kingmax (IRE) |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Anglophile |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Main Event |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Starting Over |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dynadrive |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Six Minus |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Catch That Party |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Calycanthus |
30.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tawny Port |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
|
Kingmax (IRE) |
|
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Herecomesthebride S.) – Herecomesthebride S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Crown Imperial |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Agra |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Life’s an Audible |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ozara (IRE) |
2.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Time to Dazzle |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Irish Maxima |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mystic Lake |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Pounce |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Macanga |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Show Off |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dancing N Dixie |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
|
Pounce |
|
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Davona Dale S. Presented By Fanduel Tv) – Davona Dale S. Presented By Fanduel Tv
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Into Champagne |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just F Y I |
1.40 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Leslie’s Rose |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fiona’s Magic |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queen’s Martini |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
New Diamond |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whocouldaskformo |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Sayely |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (The Very One S.) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
R Calli Kim |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cairo Consort |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Anatolian |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ready Lady |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Highland Grace |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sister Lou Ann |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rosario’s Prayer |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Angel Nadeshiko |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Viva La Red |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Yearwood |
8.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Gulfstream Park Mile S. Presented By Jack Christopher) – Gulfstream Park Mile S. Presented By Jack Christopher
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Wit |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
98 |
Castle Chaos |
0.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tumbarumba |
1.60 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gilmore |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Steal Sunshine |
2.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Il Miracolo |
4.50 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shaq Diesel |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ticking |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Canadian Turf S.) – Canadian Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Emmanuel |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Atone |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Siege of Boston |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ice Chocolat (BRZ) |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Turf King (IRE) |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smokin’ T |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Saratoga Flash |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Giant Game |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Napoleonic War |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eldon’s Prince |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Honey Fox S.) – Honey Fox S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
For the Flag |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spansive |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chili Flag (FR) |
1.80 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Carol Ann (IRE) |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Walkathon |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mohawk Trail |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Be My Sunshine |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Time Passage |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ancient Peace |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Candy Light |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Infinite Diamond |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
|
|
Walkathon |
|
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Coolmore Fountain Of Youth S.) – Coolmore Fountain Of Youth S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Locked |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Le Dom Bro |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dornoch |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Merit |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Real Macho |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dancing Groom |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Frankie’s Empire |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Victory Avenue |
4.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Speak Easy |
4.50 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
|
Le Dom Bro |
|
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.