Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Royal Whisper |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Winkiwinki |
20.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mama G’s Wish |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Golden Can |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spicy Margarita |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Serenity |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Olive Kat |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Arden’sluckytobe |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Disputed Claim |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dark Timber |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Naked and Famous |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Nasty Habit |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Box N Ben |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Glass of Courage |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Neil to the King |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Medagooch |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Keigs |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pealing Lad |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Banditsgoldenchild |
10.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blue Kingdom |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Man Gavin |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Shugs |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Touisset |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hidewright Away |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brzina |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
How Sweet She Is |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
I Have Courage |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Graceful Rose |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
5 |
Masai Man |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
3 |
Sumo |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1A |
2 |
Get Set |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
9 |
Brett’s World |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
4 |
Loose Goose |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
6 |
No Easy Days |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
7 |
Casanova Kitten |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
8 |
Chelonian |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Caughtandcollected |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Royal Ribbon |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shining Spirit |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Profitunity |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Vino Dolce |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gate Song |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pudd’n N Pie |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crusader Rabbit |
1.60 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hannah Good |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Determined Candy |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Prado Road |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cap Com |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Had to Have Him |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Workislife |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bruder |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
I Know Map |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sincerito |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Force of Justice |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Crossland |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dolice Vita |
1.40 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Frightland |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jardani |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alottacents |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shellback |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Return Fire |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uncle Chinito |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Never Grew Up |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thunderslam |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mike the Bomb |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Scenic Moon |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Malibu’s Boss Man |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Not Thistimerandy |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gino Thinkaboutit |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.