Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 1, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Little Blaze 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 First Love 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Travaille 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Juniors Joanie 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Hurricane Lassie 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bold Exaggeration 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Catherine Blaze 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mary Jack 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Four Princesses 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Dre Me Less 3.00 4 8-1
7 7 She’s a Big Star 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Simple Pleasure 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Pi Yo Princess 10.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Beyond the Hype 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wardy 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Kingscote 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Ellie’s Boyfriend 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 High Enough 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Smoothdini 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Tizzy Indy 4.00 3.4 7-1
9 9 J T’s Imagination 3.50 4 8-1
10 10 Ruleroftheuniverse 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Hawks Creek 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Masterofhiscraft 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Tap Baby 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Queenie’s Leroy 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Star Ready 15.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Mine Your Biz 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Bellamy Brother 8.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Renati 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Kev Man 8.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 A True Target 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Last of the Past 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Wild Fist 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Autumn Rob 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Dixie Farmer 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Czar’s Ballerina 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Mi Lia 8.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Starsnmotion 5.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Lead Me 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Daddy Hey Daddy 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sikara Sikara 15.00 6.9 13-1
15 15 Entitlement 8.00 7.1 13-1
16 16 Lightening Mo 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Beautiful Ending 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Super Et 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ironit 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ms. Cajun Queen 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Riptide Rose 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sweet Sassicaia 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Triple Four 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Midnight Fire 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Verb 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Prado’s Priority 3.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Herd Immunity 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Bertie’s Galaxy 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Silver Wings 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Dreamer’s Disease 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Premium 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 India Ink 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Monolith 15.00 1 2-1
11 11 Sagittarius 6.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Rockstar Red 4.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Special Dispatch 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Fear of Union 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Celestial Joy (GB) 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Big to Do 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Wissam Sharaf 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Pilkington 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Bolt From Above 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cafe Racer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Highlander’s Edge 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Cairo Charm 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Gemmy 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Chuchi 20.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Krazy Katie 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sparkle City 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Our Boss Lady 15.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Mallory Unbridled 20.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Country Angel 10.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Mallory’s Ocean 15.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Sassy Spry 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.