Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Girl Afraid | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hannah’s Haven | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ize Smiling | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Layla’s Song | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Moon | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Jersey Tuff | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Theroanrunner | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | For Harper | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Bay | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Now Yus Cant Leave | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Alyssa | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Legacy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bag Lady | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tango Zulu | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Paloma | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Drilling Report | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jax Man | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Throwin’ Shade | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Home Visit | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Commander Scott | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Credo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Righteous Freedom | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gordito Hermoso | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misterholyroller | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prince Perfecta | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Contraband Early | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yockey’s Drivethru | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Temple of Peace | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passing Judgment | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boston Blitz | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Purrrfect Rhythm | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tussling Charlie | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Catch Me T | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Spirit of Dreams | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Speedy One | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Air It Out | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Halo | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Criminal Intent | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Teen Idol | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Man Ira | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | On My Honor | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brownstone | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Partyvicious | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Powerful | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bridleuptothebar | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tape to Tape | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boss’ Dialin In | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Omaha Red | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Selby | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Officer Quigley | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean of Storms | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Geaux Sugar | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swot Analysis | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fiesty Fist | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brian’s Iron Mike | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not On Herb | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Pal Mattie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hooray Austin | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Autumns Strong Man | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Custom Bobby’s | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Grunt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisiana Broodmare Of The Year Lipstick Junky S.) – Louisiana Broodmare Of The Year Lipstick Junky S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily’s Bullet | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Lightofmaine | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accommodate Eva | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wonderrand | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly a Test | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emily’s Bullet | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnolia Avenue | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plum Wine | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tommie G | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Remunzel | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Union Mist | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Just Better | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pace’s Two Sense | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purr Factor | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Helen’s Little Sis | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Sunshine | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aunt Alex | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saranac Lake | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carnane (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Annick (FR) | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady of Power | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Marys Wine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Louisiana Stallion Of The Year Star Guitar S.) – Louisiana Stallion Of The Year Star Guitar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brittany’s Dream | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good and Stout | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carpis | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Dinero | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Court Jester | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spinning Aces | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rising Koto Star | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bons Temps Roule | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Take Charge J J | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | House Bourbon | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.