Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Antibes |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Maxville |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bert’s Prospect |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Be Punctual |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Herecomegeorgieboy |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hot Legs Romolo |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
City of Angels |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Tangledupingrey |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ferociously |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Too Much Info |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Elevado |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Squalotoro |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Play Chicken |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Hardmoneymuchachos |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
I Got a Guy |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tapit Down |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arrogates Spirit |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Running for Cosi |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mongolian Spring |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Toppers Wager |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Dua |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tambo |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beau Soleil |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hattie T |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blackpink (IRE) |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don’t Bring Crazy |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Madison Rae |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Weemissgrammy |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sunglasses (GB) |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mahina |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Warrior Lady |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Adelie (IRE) |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Way It’s Today (GB) |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Etheric |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
E J Won the Cup |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
De’ Medici |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Daddy Justify |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Winsitwell |
4.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mongolian Max |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mongolian Champ |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sinful King |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Gypsy King |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Bullion Bomber (IRE) |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tigerhon (FR) |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Incredible Shot |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brutto |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Barsabas |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Trusty Rusty |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kimmer |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Erebus |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Eltonsingsanother |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Diamonds Danzing |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Irish Wahine |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shanghai Sunrise |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stay in Line |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Uncontrollable |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wishtheyallcouldbe |
2.50 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bella Renella |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dick Best |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Barely Funtional |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bronko Nagurski |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moogie Son |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mogollon Rim |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Billy’s Bet |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tom and Jazzy |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rodrigoknows |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Wine and Whisky |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dazzle the Command |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Druidic |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Red Cross Knight |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.