Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Auratium | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nakota (IRE) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ellie Moore (IRE) | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | English Danger | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lanesra | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amelia Bleu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bonaqua | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Show Card | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vegas Condo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Gem | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corposo | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nay V Belle | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Control Function | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Joker | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Katerini | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Your Face | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vincero Grande | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firsttimeinforever | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Magic | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unkept Secret | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classy | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love My Candy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Showgirl | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storming Gray | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Vegas | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plum Creek | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Good Juju | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nauvoo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zimba Warrior | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Granada Flavor | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brazenly | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sol Del Sur | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Buzz | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 98 | Direct Line | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sir Atticus | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elwood Blues | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Principe Carlo | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kingdom Heart | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Escape Route | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moose Mitchell | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Midnight | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strikingly | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apple Fest | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jennifer’s d’Light | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Collectively | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Lava Cake | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sparrow | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Orderly Transition (GB) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Spring Fever S.) – Spring Fever S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Pond | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daddysruby | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Maddox | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Dawson | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scary Fast Ride | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Dialed In | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nitti (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Rey Rey | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Glory (GB) | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Message of Hope (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let Seamus Go | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fast Chaz | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncharted | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | British Isles | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Rain | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sketchy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bound to Succeed | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Citadino | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bartholdy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gazon (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.