Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | For A Laugh (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Heat | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goldeneye | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | St. Elmo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Coupe | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Explain This Audit | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Rewards | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Creation | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr Big Bucks | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Call Paul | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twilight Moon | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Spirit | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Awesome Kid | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | T One D Flour Free | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Will Be King | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Final Storm | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beer Money | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shady Tiger | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catmansue | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Immelmann | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stagger Lee | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stay On the Fence | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Where It’s At | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Prancealot | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thirsty Lov | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ringtone | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Audible Silence | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sense | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Letshaveonemore | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Spun | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ned | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Polis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Respect the Crown | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ima Joker | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laudatory | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motet | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Fashion | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tahini | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms McWhinney | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wynning Touch | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kathynmarissa | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Matters | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | California Tiger | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Houndstooth | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | John Dunbar | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stop and a Tres | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meesh | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bendettijoe | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pat’s Paddock Pick | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crypto Ride | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Baffle S.) – Baffle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hedwig | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heart Headed | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Hot | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charge for Gold | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boltage | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Final Boss | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always On Cay | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Patron d’Oro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oil Can Knight | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mitico | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handr’sdream | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Diablo Rojo | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Per Se | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Afternoon Heat | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mongolian Memory | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conch Daddy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rusty B Cause | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quintecents | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Coast | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caribbean King | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pinehurst (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Precision Strike | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Six Magpies (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chrome to Riches | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nobel Gary | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Juanito | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Get Kraken | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Finally an Eddie | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.