Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hardly Able | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Macho Beanie | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kajun Karma | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charco | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copter | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Like This | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ranch Badge | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doctored Deal | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | George Allen | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Star Redemption | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | The Reds | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Point Proven | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Agent Creed | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Dreaming | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crew Dragon | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swing Shift | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Freedom’s Way | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sailing Solo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Ghost | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Colosseo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Verbal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Deccan Prince (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nash | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Nash | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tuscan Sky | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hawks Creek | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ethan Energy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Count Dracula | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mind Bolt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Wish Carefully | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Benji Star | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hennessy Wild | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Gabriel | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alvarado Cat | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vega Star | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Causeway Benny | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nopenottonight | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Achromedoutcat | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Just Lucky | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kev Man | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leroux | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Captivating Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Titanium Deal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chad’s Flashy Ways | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | The Speedy One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Liuzza | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Standoutsensation | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cora’s Legacy | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Pretty Woman | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Quality Control | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noriskit Nobiscuit | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Splash Master | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sistina Chapel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beelieve Her | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Torrey Street | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Harbor Springs | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stylish Sue | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Plum Tricky | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gourmet | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Am Beautiful | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Electrifying Mojo | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Credit | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Miracle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | La La Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Higgins Boat | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Mischief | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Banned for Life | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Courageous Cupid | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drip | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Lincoln | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Devilsgotacause | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Lord | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Granthor | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Practical Thought | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Air It Out | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Winds of Justice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Colonel Power S.) – Colonel Power S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Just Might | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pirate Rick | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ready to Pounce | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Poet | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Went West | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mischievous Rogue | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minnesota Ready | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sosua Summer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Charging | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Django | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Django | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Funnyflame | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Magnifico | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cornishman | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweetalkingbourbon | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Antiquarian | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justifreak | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sabi | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elko County | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goldentown | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Albert M. Stall Memorial S.) – Albert M. Stall Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tryinmyheartout | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Not So Close | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ladywearsthering | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit And Glory (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Creative Cairo | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Martini | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Join the Dance | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Swoonatra | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Girl Named Charlie | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Watch This Birdie | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sultry Lass | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dana’s Beauty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flatter Me Silly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Mineshaft S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard) – Mineshaft S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Smile Happy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Actor | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Route One | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Happy American | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Money Supply | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gasoline | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hayes Strike | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dubyuhnell | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Notary | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Fair Grounds S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation) – Fair Grounds S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Camp Hope | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harlan Estate | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johny’s Fireball | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rising Empire | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beatbox | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing the Crown | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Quality | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | English Tavern | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gigante | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Palazzi | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duke of Carthania | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Money Supply | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Rachel Alexandra S. Presented By Fasig-tipton) – Rachel Alexandra S. Presented By Fasig-tipton
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pennick | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | V V’s Dream | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Intricate | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alpine Princess | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tarifa | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Shot | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pennick | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | West Omaha | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Risen Star S.) – Risen Star S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Track Phantom | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Real Men Violin | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Track Phantom | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Marie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Leone | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hall of Fame | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catching Freedom | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cardinale | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizzy Indy | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Resilience | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Ruta | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bee Dancer | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.