Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Buckin’ Dreamer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Square Slice | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Without Pretence | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stellars in Charge | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buddy’s a Charm | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Estimator Ziggy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Ice Man Carlos | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Senate Chamber | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tauber | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Claw | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Helms Deep | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unleveraged | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Cairo Kid | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shoot Themessenger | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patriotic Party | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nick’s Little Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | In the Dance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King’s River | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Masakado | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Break the Chains | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Way Farrior | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eyes Eleven | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Determined Blue | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Neolithica | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Another Play | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Victory | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mom’s Opal | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feelin So Lucky | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Momma’s Lino | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lisa’s Palace | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Federal Offense | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Never Coast | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Great Gazoo | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oboy | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shouldhavebeengone | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | West Star | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreams Delivered | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boruff | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Honor | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fun Lovin Criminal | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rahmer | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Up Against It | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Heart | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clubman | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Rowdy Dan | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hotpot | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shivaree | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Super Needy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Restless | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summerstateofmind | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Have No Regrets | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taji Mike | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rakia | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oludeniz | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indecent Behavior | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Western Lane | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gilda’s Girl | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Haunted Room | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’sarollingstone | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rowsie Express | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major Houlihan | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brooklyn Girl | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flowerdew | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ninja Abarrio | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Money Room | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s Ray | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Band Camp | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | General J R | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nico Lucky | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bridge to Success | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Wanna Rock | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.