Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Trinity Hope |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hot Patootie |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flashyboy’s Lilsis |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Debs Prayer |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Star’s Dream |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mrs. Necaise |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
I Dont Know Either |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mo Smoking |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Berlaine |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Love to Eat |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dancing Nancy |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Scoop |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Guest of Honor |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jocasta |
4.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Doesn’thurttoflirt |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Family Creed |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shawn’s Solving |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Country Guy |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Western Star |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Palante |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mucho Bueno |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Perfect Strike |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Z’s Guitar |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hawaiian Argument |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chaotic Jack |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Clever Joke |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beautifulnavigator (IRE) |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blame Nellie |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Tappy Tone |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Huntleigh |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Caly Bali |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Im Singled Up |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
It Wasn’t Me |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cahuilla |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Catherine Blaze |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Prize Debate |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lassarock |
50.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
13 |
13 |
La Villana |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Lanetta |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Auto Dial |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Great Runner |
10.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beautiful Life |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Reason to Dream |
10.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mackman |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cruel Endeavor |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mo Rum |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Rock N Roll Bolt |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cabernaydo |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rock N Roll Bolt |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pure Poetry |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Night Out |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kissthemoon |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dream Cruise |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Brilliant Berti |
6.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Might as Well |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Elko County |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Sarpedon |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Unified Dreams |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
El Oriente (CHI) |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Koufax |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Runway Magic |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rightandjust |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
He’s Got This |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
French Composer |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Beealea |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Uphold the Law |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Hay Stack |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Now Yus Cant Leave |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sake (FR) |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dulcia |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Heckled |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cocoa Icing |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Spartan Queen |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
She’s On the Rocks |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Paint Me Perfect |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss River Rat |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Mercedes |
20.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
1 |
1 |
Faded Memories |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Neutralize |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Bella Paloma |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Gray Dane |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Catalina Day |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Custom Cadillac |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lovely Sassicaia |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cajun Mischief |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Puppeteer |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Back Bayou |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Son of Reality |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Country Choice |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.