Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Supermax 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Into It 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 National Generaux (IRE) 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Hard Mission 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 My Partner Glen 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Street Humor 2.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Fore Flag 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Trouble N Paradise 2.50 1 2-1
1 98 Irish Wahine 0.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Mango Moon 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 3 Keep Your Coil 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 Gypsy Lynn 1.20 3.1 6-1
6 5 Sugar Sugar 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Travelin’ Show 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Puddin Head Jones 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Oobubbakakayo 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Drive for Show 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Trotsky 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Clubhouse Charlie 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sakura Blossom 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Deficit Maja 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 She’s My Niece 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Asian Matriarch 3.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Pink Whitney 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Toulouse Detrac 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Panda Peak 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Devilish Desire 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Captain Choochies 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Petcoff 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Precision Strike 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Uncle Reg 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Player B 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Mr. Mendelssohn 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Alpha Omega 10.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Meteor Man 6.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 Bronster 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 American Hope 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Imagination 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Last Call London 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Thompson 30.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Maymun 0.60 4.4 8-1
1 1 Revised Statute 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Sweet Life S.) – Sweet Life S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Julias Dream 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dial a Friend 12.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Girl of My Dreams 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Zona Verde (IRE) 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Sea Dancer 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Alluring 6.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Antifona (FR) 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Visually 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Voodoo Magic (FR) 3.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Elegant 6.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Granny Budgie (GB) 10.00 7.8 15-1
Girl of My Dreams 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Antonsen 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Getemdusty 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Dangerous Game 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Spend It All 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Hungry Hearts 4.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Pratchett 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Disobey 6.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Thegingerbreadman 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Silent Sunday 12.00 1 2-1
3 2 Giovinazzo 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Cali Bay (IRE) 3.00 2.8 5-1
11 10 Don’t Swear Dave 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Marks Hip 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Midnight Jostar 4.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Original 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 4 Fly the Sky 12.00 9.4 18-1
9 8 Mastermind 12.00 9.5 18-1
10 9 Comradery (IRE) 6.00 10.1 19-1
1 98 Erebus 0.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.