Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Thirty Carats |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cornelia Fort |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Madiha |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hennys Crazy Train |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Irish Patsy |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Control Function |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Myfavoritedaughter |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kleen Karma |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Palos Verdes S.) – Palos Verdes S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Big City Lights |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Big Wam |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hopkins |
1.20 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mystification |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
See Through It |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
California Bay |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kerry Gold |
1.80 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crypto Ride |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ship and Scam |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
El Rey Dorado |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Divine Feminine |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Speed Grazy |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Runamileinmyshoes |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Girlcanthelpit |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jane Kendeigh |
1.80 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fancy Fascinator |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Naturally Blonde |
6.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sparta F. C. |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Another Summer |
10.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Beautiful Janet |
20.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
7 |
7 |
Envisioned |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Can’t Sleep |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Las Virgenes S.) – Las Virgenes S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
She’s a Tempest |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kopion |
1.20 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kinza |
1.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nothing Like You |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Great Forty Eight |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Hot Box |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Exultation |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Give Me the Lute |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kanderel |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Atomic Drop |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Slew’s Joy |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Barristan The Bold (GB) |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silardi |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Raging Waters |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hondo Crouch |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
7 |
Minister Shane |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spiritual Advisor |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Bag’s Gold |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Soul of Midnight |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wegonahavagoodtime |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sauls Call |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
98 |
American Cat |
0.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Enjoy It Strait |
4.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
9 |
Hey Mel |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (San Marcos S.) – San Marcos S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Missed the Cut |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Balladeer |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Eastern Ocean |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Irish Prophet |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shortman |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Planetario (BRZ) |
2.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
8 |
Toledo Rocket |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quagmire Magic |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
10 |
9 |
Mister Beams |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golf Drama |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
98 |
Mars On Fire |
0.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vinny the Coin |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Road of Love |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
10 |
Rogue Son |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eagles Landing |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grand Tiger |
3.50 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiger’s Arrow |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ag Bullet |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stay and Scam |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Free and Humble |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Thrumps Dream (IRE) |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kitty Kitana (GB) |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Princess Bettina |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Alternate Rock |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bella D |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Customer List (FR) |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.