Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Collection Day | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Quint | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jolly by Golly | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maryland Moon | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edge of Glory | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baron’s Legacy | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Milano | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coal’s Magnolia | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Admission | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Job’s Not Finished | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peachessweetnotion | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Best Worst Idea | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Razorette | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spoils of War | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kanem | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| Spoils of War | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honey B B | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Made Birdie | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Fabulous | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bootsy’s Merlot | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Floge | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tina Tina Tina | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sun Streaming | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| Honey B B | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hot Dance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flag Song Flyin | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostly Anna | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K Kake Pop | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Troubled Dreams | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ree Nee’s Six | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Midnight | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cassoulet | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Steele Money | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bermondsey | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Workin On a Dream | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Krug | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream of Blessings | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Virginia Fulla | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Transfer the Funds | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | My Catholic Girl | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | G’s Fireball | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharmin | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaveta | 30.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Valley Star | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breaking Rules | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kapadokya | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grace in Excess | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pagan Mystique | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maddie Ten | 1.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leave Drama Behind | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Omar Comin | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whatahardmanfidead | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dashing d’Artagnan | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thename of Thegame | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El de Larry | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derbyness | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surfboard | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Royal Ribbon | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vino From Ernies | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Audibly | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lacey Gracie | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vino Dolce | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Society Ball | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Profitunity | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grammy Girl | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anonymously | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simply Stated | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lassie’s Notion | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Bettina | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Can | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Zeta | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Renee | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deeds of Love | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Infinite Series | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Box of Rockets | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paved in Gold | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mosler Time | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Army Cadet | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Last Jumpstart | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Second Wave | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.