Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Inspired Irish | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Know | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Covee | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Time the Avenger | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Energy Efficient | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sovereign Cause | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hialeah Native | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maryland Moon | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Succeed | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prince Fred | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chica Chuck | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El de Larry | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ascendance | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dashing d’Artagnan | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jumpingjaggerflash | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Malinois | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Notion in Motion | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glass of Courage | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D Majestical | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Lad | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grumpy Grin | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enzo | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goodbye Note | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tweet Away Robin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bandits Warrior | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Matoula | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mysisternancy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fool Yourself | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fancy Princess | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alas and Alack | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Lace | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Out Dancing | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thea’s Theme | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lunita | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hemp | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Heavens | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodafternoonoscar | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arden’sluckytobe | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disputed Claim | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Noah Chance | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Renegade | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Bourbon | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Battle of Bastogne | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Heaven’s Got Fire | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lost Weekend | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Victim of the Nite | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Chief | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Ice | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crossland | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Margie’s Fun Son | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amity Road | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ampersand | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chelonian | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | John Hall | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Under the Radar | 4.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Find Faith | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ain’t Wasting Time | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fole’s Notion | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chickahominy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Genieinabridle | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cynergy’s Electra | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonboots | 20.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liquidator | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel Art | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldieness | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Coco | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Seamstress | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ruda | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peyton Elizabeth | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freccia d’Argento | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Knickersinatwist | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peppermint Class | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Always Laughing | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pharoahs Baby Gyal | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charming Way | 1.40 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Can Run | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Karan’s Notion | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Cents | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Music | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Threes Over Deuces | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swill | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ournationonparade | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exculpatory | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heads Or Tails | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dynamite Karma | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He Hate Me | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strugar | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | His Name Is Sue | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nottoway | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Easy Days | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pressing Concern | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fizbo | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.