Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hechicero | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Builder Jak | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Decisive Warrior | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moby Warrior | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ahorsewithnoname | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breezer | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Jackson | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Boss | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Test Factor | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Urge to Merge (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Troublemeister | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Refuel | 2.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soar Richard | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bivol | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mellifluous | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Singing Sandra | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Sun Dress | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Fake | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nunofthisnunofthat | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wow Lucky | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ashima | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lazzarone | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | James Gang | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin Bow | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One America | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scaramanga | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Lucky | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Upstreet | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | My Blessing | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Looks Lucky to Me | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Goodtobe Jose | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mochi Girl | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Jenny | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit of Victory | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Church Girl | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sizzle | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palmetto Fury | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Procrastinate | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Verdugirl | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Always a Way | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whateverwilbewilbe | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jigsaw | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ekati King | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Faliero | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr Bayter | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hermoso Hombre | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Chato | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Legal Tender | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vinsanity | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lighting Clouds | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bingo Was His Name | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ozone | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| Lighting Clouds | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queen Karima | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Busy Morning | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admissible | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wise and Elegant | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drum Roll | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delta Charm | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bustin Bullet | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Arrogancy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Improptude | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinsman Redeemer | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sneak Preview | 1.60 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Etendre | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Tap | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Cap | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Monopoly Man | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roaring Indian | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.