Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Eight Clap |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Eligio |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Petesoldfashioned |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Got My Prance On |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Outgunned |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Adebayo |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
De Joria |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magazine |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hollywood Rumor |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midnight Silence |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Glory of Chrome |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fast Giselle |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ready Jet Go |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aventapp |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nu Pi Lambda |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golden Prayer |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
She’s a Joker |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ice Queen |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bossy Bruin Gal |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dorie Miller |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Warren’s Wild Ride |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bella Vienna |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Borntostaythirsty |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cocktail Cutie |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Clements Ride |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Run Bryce Run |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yellow Jacket |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Takes Three |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Drive for Show |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Curlin’s Kaos |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Motivating Force |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Vols |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kiss for Lulu |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Jetfire |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Bright Leaf |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clouseau |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flying Drummer |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Low Expectations |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mischelof (CHI) |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
St. Elmo |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dual Threat |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Judge Miller |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Rodrigoknows |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Geezer |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Billy’s Bet |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gypsy Tears |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
So I’m Told |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Andy Can U Hear Me |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bronko Nagurski |
2.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Worse Read Sanchez |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Super Chief |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (San Pasqual S.) – San Pasqual S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Newgrange |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr Fisk |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Newgrange |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Newgate |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
I’mgonnabesomebody |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Two Rivers Over |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mixto |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stilleto Boy |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
War At Sea |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Flavius |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Indian Peak |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hurricane Cloud (GB) |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kingmeister |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mastermind |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brother Reid |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Irish Heatwave |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stayincotai (IRE) |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Giovinazzo |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Marks Hip |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.