Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sunny Sunshine |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dennison Girls |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Notafraidtocharge |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pagan Mystique |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Leave Drama Behind |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Flinny Tin Tin |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dazzling Demelza |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Catholic Girl |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Three’s a Crowd |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Porch Swing |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
West Star |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Landon Jack |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Casino Tricks |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Great Gazoo |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prins Fire |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dreams Delivered |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boruff |
8.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Oboy |
20.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
10 |
10 |
Verbier |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Nami |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Golden Charm |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Finaljump |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Peachessweetnotion |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Little Baby Girl |
1.60 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Diane |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Marley’s Ghost |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rees |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Daylight Queen |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
8 |
Alpha Chi Rho |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
5 |
Perfect Day |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
3 |
Kadri |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
6 |
Take Charge Too |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Casanova Kitten |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
10 |
Privet Moon |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
2 |
Indian Lake |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
7 |
Luv Ya Bye Bye |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
9 |
Foolish Ghost |
5.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blessed Arion |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Appendage |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Strong Finish |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Long Live Now |
20.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
El de Chimi |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Muskoka Giant |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Food Foodie |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
He’s On Fire |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gambling Tzar |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Major Cam |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Trash Talkin Larry |
1.60 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Stop the Spread |
8.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Steele Money |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Treasure Trove |
4.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Northern Thunder |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Galatians |
1.40 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shoot Themessenger |
5.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
14 |
14 |
Maximum Impact |
4.50 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Virginia Fulla |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lookin for Justice |
8.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cavalry Command |
3.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
12 |
12 |
Transfer the Funds |
15.00 |
11.2 |
21-1 |
6 |
6 |
Workin On a Dream |
10.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dream of Blessings |
30.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
10 |
10 |
Miracle Silver |
30.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fermat |
20.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Helms Deep |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nepotism |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Krug |
15.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bobby G |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Walk Away Joe |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Up Against It |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alottacents |
4.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Never Change |
3.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Southern District |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Xtra Heat S.) – Xtra Heat S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Kiss for Luck |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
C C Royal |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reconcile |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roanan Goddess |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Heart |
1.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Still Game |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Shaft’s Bullet |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coffeewithchris |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Messier |
1.40 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Joe |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Yodel E. A. Who |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Martini Martin |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dats Mr. Mo |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vance Scholars |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Outlier |
12.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Feeling Woozy |
8.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Spectacular Bid S.) – Spectacular Bid S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Copper Tax |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Maximus Meridius |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mission Beach |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Guanare |
1.80 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Soddy J |
8.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
El Divino Nino |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kelly’s Kidz |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Point Pelee |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Had to Have Him |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
10 |
Troubled Dreams |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Walk Inthe Park |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
At First Sight |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chaveta |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Irish Rage |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1A |
6 |
Harmonizing |
4.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yumyum Eat Em Up |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
7 |
Lorraine’s Way |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
8 |
Design Diva |
8.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
8 |
9 |
Amorica |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.