Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Unkept Secret 0 0-1
2 2 King Zog 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Logon to Win 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Bluegrass Ryder 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Unkept Secret 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Streetlight People 5.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Crypto Craze 2.50 6.6 12-1
3 3 Unusual Win 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yo Yo Mama 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Stay in Line 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 R Girl’s Werth It 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Con Seal and Kerry 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Just Is 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bandwagon 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lake Superior 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Message of Hope (IRE) 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 British Isles 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Leading 5.00 4 7-1
6 6 Shot of Courage 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vegas Burner 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Hey Brother 3.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Don Corleone 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sneaking Candy 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Appreciate Today 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Prosper 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mitico 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Paco’s Pico 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Handr’sdream 6.00 2 4-1
9 9 Summer Shandee 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Sol Del Sur 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Whoa Buddy 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 High Press 20.00 5 9-1
10 10 Afternoon Heat 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Anyotherquestions 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Granada Flavor 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Astra S.) – Astra S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lakota Spirit 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Linda’s Gift 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Duvet Day (IRE) 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Leisurewear (IRE) 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Rose Barton (IRE) 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Yarborough 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Musical Rhapsody (IRE) 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tianma 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ms Bo J 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Mo Pearls Please 15.00 4 7-1
3 3 Tahini 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Show Card 3.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Simply Enchanting 4.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Bonaqua 5.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Vegas Condo 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Khinjani (GB) 0 0-1
4 4 Milagre Do Sol 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sakura Flavor (IRE) 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Etheric 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Myfavoritedaughter 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Vincero Grande 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Thirty Carats 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Khinjani (GB) 3.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Irish Patsy 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.